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Holt-Winters ट्रिपल एक्सपोनेंशियल स्मूथिंग×सरल और दोहरा घातीय समतलन (SES / Holt)×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष19601957
प्रवर्तकCharles C. Holt and Peter R. WintersRobert G. Brown (SES); Charles C. Holt (linear trend)
प्रकारExponential smoothing forecasting modelExponential smoothing forecasting model
मौलिक स्रोतWinters, P. R. (1960). Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages. Management Science, 6(3), 324-342. DOI ↗Brown, R. G. (1959). Statistical Forecasting for Inventory Control. McGraw-Hill. link ↗
उपनामtriple exponential smoothing, Winters' method, Holt-Winters seasonal method, Holt-Winters Üçlü Üstel DüzleştirmeSES, Holt's linear trend method, exponential smoothing forecasting, Basit ve Çift Üstel Düzleştirme (SES / Holt)
संबंधित43
सारांशHolt-Winters triple exponential smoothing is a forecasting model that extends Holt's double smoothing by adding a seasonal component, introduced by Peter Winters in 1960 building on Charles Holt's work. It tracks three evolving quantities — level, trend, and season — and combines them to forecast a continuous time series.Exponential smoothing is a family of basic time-series forecasting models in which each new observation updates a smoothed estimate by a weighting parameter. Simple exponential smoothing (SES), introduced by Robert G. Brown in 1959, forecasts series with a stable level, while Holt's double exponential smoothing, introduced by Charles C. Holt in 1957, adds a trend term using the parameters alpha and beta.
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