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| סימולציית תורים בייסיאנית× | סימולציית תורים סטוכסטית× | |
|---|---|---|
| תחום | סימולציה | סימולציה |
| משפחה | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| שנת המקור≠ | 1994 | 1953 |
| הוגה השיטה≠ | Armero, C. & Bayarri, M. J. | Kendall, D. G. |
| סוג≠ | Bayesian inference + stochastic simulation | Stochastic simulation — waiting-line system analysis |
| מקור מכונן≠ | Armero, C., & Bayarri, M. J. (1994). Bayesian prediction in M/M/1 queues. Queueing Systems, 15(1–4), 401–417. DOI ↗ | Kendall, D. G. (1953). Stochastic processes occurring in the theory of queues and their analysis by the method of the imbedded Markov chain. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 24(3), 338–354. DOI ↗ |
| כינויים | BQS, Bayesian Queue Simulation, Bayesian Stochastic Queueing, Bayesian Queuing Analysis | SQS, Probabilistic Queueing Simulation, Stochastic Queue Modeling, Random Queueing Simulation |
| קשורות | 6 | 6 |
| תקציר≠ | Bayesian Queueing Simulation combines Bayesian statistical inference with stochastic queueing simulation to model waiting-line systems under parameter uncertainty. Instead of treating arrival and service rates as fixed known values, it places prior distributions over them, updates these with observed data to obtain posteriors, and propagates the resulting parameter uncertainty through repeated simulation runs to produce probabilistic predictions of system performance metrics such as queue length, waiting time, and server utilisation. | Stochastic Queueing Simulation models waiting-line systems where arrival and service processes follow probability distributions rather than fixed rates. By simulating thousands of random events, it estimates performance measures — mean waiting time, queue length, server utilization — under realistic uncertainty, making it the standard tool for designing and evaluating service systems from hospitals to call centers. |
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