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Stokastinen mikrosimulaatio×Stokastinen diskreettitapahtumasimulaatio×
TieteenalaSimulointiSimulointi
MenetelmäperheProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Syntyvuosi19571960s–1970s
KehittäjäGuy H. OrcuttBanks, Carson, Nelson, Nicol; Law, A. M.
TyyppiStochastic individual-level simulationStochastic simulation model
AlkuperäislähdeOrcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗Banks, J., Carson, J. S., Nelson, B. L., & Nicol, D. M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Prentice Hall. ISBN: 9780136062127
RinnakkaisnimetProbabilistic Microsimulation, Monte Carlo Microsimulation, Stochastic Micro-simulation, SMSMStochastic DES, SDES, Probabilistic DES, Monte Carlo DES
Liittyvät66
TiivistelmäStochastic Microsimulation tracks a large population of individual units — people, households, or firms — through time by applying random draws from empirically estimated probability distributions at each transition event. Unlike deterministic counterparts, every state change is decided by chance, preserving realistic heterogeneity and allowing rigorous uncertainty quantification across multiple simulation runs.Stochastic Discrete-Event Simulation (Stochastic DES) models complex systems by advancing simulated time from one discrete event to the next, drawing event durations and inter-arrival times from fitted probability distributions. It is the standard technique for analyzing queues, manufacturing lines, healthcare pathways, and logistics networks under uncertainty, producing output statistics with confidence intervals.
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ScholarGateVertaile menetelmiä: Stochastic Microsimulation · Stochastic Discrete-Event Simulation. Haettu 2026-06-17 osoitteesta https://scholargate.app/fi/compare