Vertaile menetelmiä

	Hierarkkinen Bayesilainen mallien keskiarvoistus	Hierarkkinen Markovin ketju -Monte Carlo
Tieteenala	Bayesilainen tilastotiede	Bayesilainen tilastotiede
Menetelmäperhe	Bayesian methods	Bayesian methods
Syntyvuosi	1999–2000s	1990
Kehittäjä	Extension formalised by Hoeting, Madigan, Raftery, and Volinsky; hierarchical application developed through 1990s–2000s Bayesian literature	Gelfand & Smith (1990), building on Geman & Geman (1984)
Tyyppi	Bayesian model averaging within hierarchical models	Bayesian computational sampler
Alkuperäislähde	Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E., & Volinsky, C. T. (1999). Bayesian model averaging: A tutorial. Statistical Science, 14(4), 382–417.	Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955
Rinnakkaisnimet	HBMA, hierarchical BMA, multilevel Bayesian model averaging, Bayesian model averaging in hierarchical models	hierarchical MCMC, MCMC for multilevel models, Bayesian hierarchical MCMC, multilevel MCMC sampling
Liittyvät	5	6
Tiivistelmä	Hierarchical Bayesian model averaging (HBMA) combines Bayesian model averaging with hierarchical model structure, averaging posterior quantities over a set of candidate models weighted by each model's posterior probability. Rather than selecting a single best model, HBMA propagates model uncertainty through a hierarchical framework, producing predictions and parameter estimates that honestly reflect uncertainty about which model is correct.	Hierarchical Markov chain Monte Carlo applies MCMC sampling to hierarchical Bayesian models, jointly drawing from the posterior over both observation-level parameters and the hyperparameters that govern them. This allows principled uncertainty propagation across all levels of a multilevel structure, from individuals to groups to population, using algorithms such as Gibbs sampling, Metropolis-Hastings, or Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.