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| Bayesian Panel Event Study× | Paneelitapahtumatutkimus× | |
|---|---|---|
| Tieteenala | Kausaalipäättely | Kausaalipäättely |
| Menetelmäperhe | Regression model | Regression model |
| Syntyvuosi≠ | 2010s–2020s | 1990s–2020s (modern panel formulation) |
| Kehittäjä≠ | Developed from panel event-study literature (Sun & Abraham 2021; Freyaldenhoven et al. 2021) combined with Bayesian estimation frameworks | Formalized by Freyaldenhoven, Hansen, Perez-Orive & Shapiro (2021); widely applied in finance (Fama et al. 1969) and policy evaluation |
| Tyyppi≠ | Bayesian causal panel estimator | Quasi-experimental / causal panel design |
| Alkuperäislähde≠ | Freyaldenhoven, S., Hansen, C., Shapiro, J. M., & Teso, E. (2021). Visualization, Identification, and Estimation in the Linear Panel Event-Study Design. NBER Working Paper No. 29170. National Bureau of Economic Research. link ↗ | Freyaldenhoven, S., Hansen, C., Perez-Orive, J., & Shapiro, J. M. (2021). Visualization, Identification, and Estimation in the Linear Panel Event-Study Design. NBER Working Paper 29170. National Bureau of Economic Research. link ↗ |
| Rinnakkaisnimet | Bayesian event-study estimator, Bayesian dynamic DiD, Bayesian panel ES, Bayes event study | event-study regression, dynamic DiD, relative-time regression, distributed-lag panel model |
| Liittyvät | 4 | 4 |
| Tiivistelmä≠ | Bayesian Panel Event Study is a causal inference design that estimates dynamic treatment effects around a datable event using panel data, replacing classical frequentist estimation with Bayesian posterior inference. It produces period-by-period effect estimates with full probability distributions, enabling principled uncertainty quantification, regularization of noisy pre-trend coefficients, and probabilistic tests of parallel trends. | A panel event study estimates the dynamic causal effect of a treatment or policy by regressing an outcome on a full set of relative-time indicators — one for each period before and after the event — while controlling for unit and time fixed effects. The resulting coefficient plot shows how the treated units diverged from untreated units at each point in calendar time relative to their treatment date, making both pre-treatment trend violations and post-treatment effect trajectories immediately visible. |
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