Vertaile menetelmiä

	Bayesilainen käänteisen todennäköisyyden painotus	Bayesiläinen erojen erot -menetelmä
Tieteenala	Kausaalipäättely	Kausaalipäättely
Menetelmäperhe	Regression model	Regression model
Syntyvuosi	2015	2015-2023
Kehittäjä	Saarela, Stephens, Moodie & Klein (2015); Liao & Zigler (2020)	Li & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series)
Tyyppi	Bayesian causal weighting estimator	Bayesian causal inference / panel regression
Alkuperäislähde	Saarela, O., Stephens, D. A., Moodie, E. E. M., & Klein, M. B. (2015). On risk prediction and characterisation of treatment effects in a Bayesian framework using the propensity score. Statistics in Medicine, 34(14), 2170-2185.	Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529.
Rinnakkaisnimet	Bayesian IPW, BIPW, Bayesian propensity-weighted estimation, Bayesian marginal structural weighting	Bayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator
Liittyvät	6	5
Tiivistelmä	Bayesian Inverse Probability Weighting (Bayesian IPW) extends the classical IPW estimator by placing prior distributions over the propensity-score model parameters and propagating that uncertainty into the causal-effect estimate. The result is a posterior distribution for the average treatment effect that fully accounts for both propensity-score estimation uncertainty and outcome-model uncertainty, enabling credible-interval inference rather than relying on asymptotic approximations.	Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available.