Celeration Line Analysis

Celeration line analysis is a single-case method that fits a trend line to the baseline phase, projects that line forward into the intervention phase, and judges effect by how many intervention data points fall on the improvement side of the projected trend. Built on Owen White's split-middle technique from precision teaching and codified for social-work practice by Bloom, Fischer, and Orme, it directly addresses a weakness of level-only comparisons: it asks whether the client improved beyond the trajectory the baseline was already on, and pairs the count with a simple binomial test for statistical decision-making.