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مدل‌سازی گذار حالت احتمالی در سطح فردی با شبیه‌سازی خرد تصادفی×میکروسیمولاسیون مبتنی بر عامل×
حوزهشبیه‌سازیشبیه‌سازی
خانوادهProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
سال پیدایش19571957 (microsimulation); 2000s (hybrid ABMS)
پدیدآورGuy H. OrcuttOrcutt, G. H. (microsimulation roots); Bonabeau, E. and others (ABM integration)
نوعStochastic individual-level simulationHybrid simulation
منبع بنیادینOrcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗Birkin, M., & Clarke, M. (2012). The enhancement of spatial microsimulation models using geodemographics. Annals of Regional Science, 49(2), 515–532. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرProbabilistic Microsimulation, Monte Carlo Microsimulation, Stochastic Micro-simulation, SMSMABMS, Agent-Based Micro-Simulation, Microsimulation with Agent-Based Modeling, Hybrid ABM-Microsimulation
مرتبط65
خلاصهStochastic Microsimulation tracks a large population of individual units — people, households, or firms — through time by applying random draws from empirically estimated probability distributions at each transition event. Unlike deterministic counterparts, every state change is decided by chance, preserving realistic heterogeneity and allowing rigorous uncertainty quantification across multiple simulation runs.Agent-based microsimulation (ABMS) merges traditional microsimulation's individual-level statistical tracking with agent-based modeling's behavioral rules and interaction mechanisms. It creates virtual populations of heterogeneous agents who evolve over time according to transition probabilities, adaptive behaviors, and social interactions, producing emergent system-level outcomes from micro-level dynamics.
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  1. v1
  2. 2 منابع
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 منابع
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Stochastic Microsimulation · Agent-based microsimulation. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare