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تحلیل درختی رویداد با کمک شبیه‌سازی×تحلیل حالات شکست و اثرات آن (FMEA)×
حوزهطراحی آزمایشطراحی آزمایش
خانوادهProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
سال پیدایش1970s–1990s (formalized in probabilistic risk assessment practice)1949 (military); widespread industrial adoption 1970s–1980s
پدیدآورH.A. Watson (Bell Telephone Laboratories, ETA origins ~1961); Monte Carlo integration of ETA developed in nuclear/aerospace PRA community 1970s–1990sU.S. Military / NASA (formalized by MIL-P-1629, 1949)
نوعProbabilistic risk and reliability assessment methodProactive risk analysis technique
منبع بنیادینZio, E. (2009). Reliability engineering: Old problems and new challenges. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 94(2), 125–141. DOI ↗Stamatis, D. H. (2003). Failure Mode and Effect Analysis: FMEA from Theory to Execution (2nd ed.). ASQ Quality Press. ISBN: 978-0873895989
نام‌های دیگرMonte Carlo ETA, stochastic event tree analysis, simulation-enhanced ETA, probabilistic event tree simulationFMEA, Failure Modes and Effects Analysis, FMECA, Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis
مرتبط66
خلاصهSimulation-assisted event tree analysis (ETA) extends classical event tree analysis by replacing fixed point-estimate branch probabilities with Monte Carlo or discrete-event simulation. This allows analysts to propagate uncertainty through every branch of the tree and obtain full probability distributions over accident sequences and system outcomes, yielding far richer risk insights than deterministic ETA alone.Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) is a structured, proactive risk management technique used to identify potential failure modes in a system, process, or product design, evaluate their consequences, and prioritize corrective actions before failures occur. Originally developed for the U.S. military in 1949 and later adopted by NASA, automotive, and manufacturing industries, FMEA is now a cornerstone quality-engineering tool embedded in standards such as AIAG-VDA and ISO 9001-aligned processes.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Simulation-assisted event tree analysis · Failure Mode and Effects Analysis. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare