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تحلیل ترتیبی (طرح ترتیبی گروهی)×تحلیل توان بیزی (اطمینان)×
حوزهآمارآمار
خانوادهHypothesis testHypothesis test
سال پیدایش19771986
پدیدآورP. C. O'Brien & T. R. Fleming; P. C. PocockSpiegelhalter & Freedman (1986); O'Hagan, Stevens & Campbell (2005)
نوعSequential / adaptive hypothesis testBayesian sample size determination
منبع بنیادینO'Brien, P.C. & Fleming, T.R. (1979). A Multiple Testing Procedure for Clinical Trials. Biometrics, 35(3), 549–556. DOI ↗O'Hagan, A., Stevens, J.W. & Campbell, M.J. (2005). Assurance in Clinical Trial Design. Pharmaceutical Statistics, 4(3), 187–201. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرsequential testing, group sequential design, interim analysis, Sıralı Analiz (Sequential Testing / Group Sequential Design)assurance, bayesian sample size determination, bayesian assurance, Bayesian Güç Analizi (Assurance / Bayesian Sample Size)
مرتبط53
خلاصهSequential analysis is a framework for conducting hypothesis tests with pre-planned interim looks at accumulating data, allowing a study to stop early for efficacy or futility while controlling the overall Type I error rate. The group sequential approach was formalised by Pocock (1977) and O'Brien and Fleming (1979), and remains the standard for confirmatory clinical trials and rigorous A/B experiments.Bayesian power analysis — also called assurance — is a sample size determination method that replaces the frequentist notion of power with a probability-weighted average over a prior distribution on the effect size. First formalised by Spiegelhalter and Freedman (1986) and further developed by O'Hagan, Stevens and Campbell (2005), it answers the question: given our current uncertainty about the true effect, what sample size gives us a high overall probability of obtaining a statistically significant result?
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Sequential Analysis · Bayesian Power Analysis. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare