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حوزهاستنتاج علّیاستنتاج علّی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1983–20022002
پدیدآورPaul R. Rosenbaum (formal framework); applied in education research by Briggs and othersWagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
نوعCausal robustness / bias assessmentQuasi-experimental segmented regression
منبع بنیادینRosenbaum, P. R. (2002). Observational Studies (2nd ed.). Springer. ISBN: 978-0387989679Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرRosenbaum sensitivity analysis, hidden-bias sensitivity analysis, causal sensitivity analysis, SA for causal education studiesITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
مرتبط65
خلاصهSensitivity analysis for causality in education research tests how robust a quasi-experimental finding is to unmeasured confounding. Rather than assuming all bias has been removed, it quantifies how large a hidden bias would need to be to overturn a causal conclusion — a critical safeguard when randomisation is impossible, which is common in educational settings.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Sensitivity analysis for causality in education research · Interrupted Time Series. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-19 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare