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پویایی‌شناسی سیستم‌های سناریوی سیاست×شبیه‌سازی چندسطحی ترکیبی مبتنی بر عامل و دینامیک سیستم×
حوزهشبیه‌سازیشبیه‌سازی
خانوادهProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
سال پیدایش1960s–1990s2000s
پدیدآورForrester, J. W. (system dynamics); scenario integration formalized by Sterman and othersBorshchev, A. & Filippov, A. (hybrid formalization); Sterman, J. D. (system dynamics foundation)
نوعSimulation-based policy analysisHybrid simulation model
منبع بنیادینSterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 9780072389159Borshchev, A., & Filippov, A. (2004). From system dynamics and discrete event to practical agent based modeling: Reasons, techniques, tools. In Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Oxford, UK. link ↗
نام‌های دیگرPSSD, Policy SD Simulation, Scenario-Based System Dynamics, Policy Systems ModelingAB-SD, Hybrid ABM-SD, Agent-based SD, Multi-level hybrid simulation
مرتبط55
خلاصهPolicy Scenario System Dynamics combines system dynamics modeling with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how different policy interventions affect complex, feedback-driven systems over time. By running multiple policy scenarios through a calibrated stock-and-flow model, analysts can compare long-run outcomes, identify leverage points, and anticipate unintended consequences before real-world implementation.Agent-based system dynamics (AB-SD) is a hybrid simulation paradigm that couples agent-based modeling (ABM) at the micro level with system dynamics (SD) stock-and-flow structures at the macro level. This allows researchers to capture emergent individual behavior and feedback-driven aggregate dynamics within a single coherent model, making it especially valuable for complex socio-economic and epidemiological systems.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Policy Scenario System Dynamics · Agent-based system dynamics. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare