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بهینه‌سازی نگهداری×مدل‌های تخریب×تحلیل قابلیت اطمینان آماری×
حوزهقابلیت اطمینانقابلیت اطمینانقابلیت اطمینان
خانوادهProcess / pipelineRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش200219981998
پدیدآورHongzhou WangMeeker, Escobar & LuWilliam Meeker & Luis Escobar
نوعdecision optimization frameworkStochastic degradation path modelParametric lifetime modeling
منبع بنیادینWang, H. (2002). A survey of maintenance policies of deteriorating systems. European Journal of Operational Research, 139(3), 469–489. DOI ↗Meeker, W. Q., Escobar, L. A., & Lu, C. J. (1998). Accelerated degradation tests: modeling and analysis. Technometrics, 40(2), 89–99. DOI ↗Meeker, W. Q., & Escobar, L. A. (1998). Statistical Methods for Reliability Data. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0-471-14328-4
نام‌های دیگرOptimal Maintenance Policy, Preventive Maintenance Scheduling, Predictive Maintenance Optimization, Bakım OptimizasyonuAccelerated Degradation Testing, Degradation Path Models, Performance Degradation Analysis, Bozunma ModelleriLife Data Analysis, Survival Analysis (Engineering), Time-to-Failure Analysis, Güvenilirlik Analizi
مرتبط333
خلاصهMaintenance Optimization is a quantitative framework for determining the timing, type, and frequency of maintenance actions—preventive, predictive, or corrective—that minimize total cost or expected downtime over a system's operational life. Systematic formulations were consolidated by Hongzhou Wang (2002), whose survey unified age-replacement, block-replacement, and imperfect-repair policies under a common cost-rate structure applicable to deteriorating systems across engineering and operations management.Degradation models estimate product lifetime by tracking measurable performance characteristics—such as crack length, light output, or insulation resistance—over time rather than waiting for outright failure. Introduced in rigorous form by Meeker, Escobar, and Lu (1998), these models fit a stochastic degradation path to repeated measurements and define failure as the first time the characteristic crosses a predetermined threshold, enabling reliable lifetime inference from accelerated test data with very few or no observed failures.Statistical reliability analysis models the time-to-failure of components, systems, or products using parametric lifetime distributions fitted to observed or censored failure data. Formalized comprehensively by William Q. Meeker and Luis A. Escobar in their 1998 Wiley monograph, the framework integrates maximum likelihood estimation, censoring mechanisms, and distributional diagnostics to produce probability-of-failure curves, hazard rates, and quantile estimates that support design, warranty, and maintenance decisions.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Maintenance Optimization · Degradation Models · Reliability Analysis. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare