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مدل گردش عمومی×شاخص استاندارد بارش×
حوزهژئوفیزیکژئوفیزیک
خانوادهProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
سال پیدایش19751993
پدیدآورSyukuro Manabe and Richard WetheraldThomas McKee, Neil Doesken, and John Kleist
نوعDeterministic coupled atmosphere-ocean simulationProbabilistic drought indicator
منبع بنیادینManabe, S., & Wetherald, R. T. (1975). The effects of doubling the CO2 concentration on the climate of a general circulation model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 32(1), 3-15. DOI ↗McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., & Kleist, J. (1993). The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology, 179-184. link ↗
نام‌های دیگرGCM, Global Climate ModelSPI
مرتبط33
خلاصهA General Circulation Model (GCM), also called a Global Climate Model, is a three-dimensional numerical representation of the Earth's atmosphere, oceans, ice, and land surface that simulates physical processes governing weather and climate. Pioneered by Manabe and Wetherald in 1975, GCMs are the primary tools for understanding past climate, projecting future climate change, and investigating climate sensitivity to greenhouse gases and other forcings.The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is a climate index that quantifies precipitation anomalies relative to historical norms, standardized to account for differences in precipitation climatology across regions. Introduced by McKee, Doesken, and Kleist in 1993, SPI has become a primary tool for drought detection and characterization, adopted by meteorological agencies worldwide for operational drought monitoring and early warning systems.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: General Circulation Model · Standardized Precipitation Index. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-18 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare