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میکروسیمولاسیون قطعی×مدل‌سازی گذار حالت احتمالی در سطح فردی با شبیه‌سازی خرد تصادفی×
حوزهشبیه‌سازیشبیه‌سازی
خانوادهProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
سال پیدایش19571957
پدیدآورGuy H. OrcuttGuy H. Orcutt
نوعIndividual-level deterministic rule applicationStochastic individual-level simulation
منبع بنیادینOrcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗Orcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرArithmetic Microsimulation, Static Tax-Benefit Microsimulation, Deterministic Policy Simulation, Rule-based MicrosimulationProbabilistic Microsimulation, Monte Carlo Microsimulation, Stochastic Micro-simulation, SMSM
مرتبط56
خلاصهDeterministic Microsimulation applies a fixed set of policy rules or behavioral equations to each individual or household record in a microdata file, computing exact outcomes without any random sampling. It is the standard engine behind tax-benefit calculators and demographic projection models used by governments worldwide.Stochastic Microsimulation tracks a large population of individual units — people, households, or firms — through time by applying random draws from empirically estimated probability distributions at each transition event. Unlike deterministic counterparts, every state change is decided by chance, preserving realistic heterogeneity and allowing rigorous uncertainty quantification across multiple simulation runs.
ScholarGateمجموعه‌داده
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  1. v1
  2. 2 منابع
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Deterministic Microsimulation · Stochastic Microsimulation. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare