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میکروسیمولاسیون قطعی×مدل مارکوف×
حوزهشبیه‌سازیشبیه‌سازی
خانوادهProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
سال پیدایش19571906
پدیدآورGuy H. OrcuttAndrei Markov
نوعIndividual-level deterministic rule applicationProbabilistic state-transition model
منبع بنیادینOrcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗Norris, J. R. (1997). Markov Chains. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN: 9780521633963
نام‌های دیگرArithmetic Microsimulation, Static Tax-Benefit Microsimulation, Deterministic Policy Simulation, Rule-based MicrosimulationMarkov Chain, Discrete-Time Markov Chain, DTMC, Markov Process
مرتبط55
خلاصهDeterministic Microsimulation applies a fixed set of policy rules or behavioral equations to each individual or household record in a microdata file, computing exact outcomes without any random sampling. It is the standard engine behind tax-benefit calculators and demographic projection models used by governments worldwide.A Markov Model represents a system as a finite set of states and specifies the probability of moving from one state to another at each time step. By capturing only the current state — not the full history — it enables tractable analysis of complex dynamic processes across health economics, engineering reliability, operations research, and social-science modeling.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Deterministic Microsimulation · Markov Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare