مقایسهٔ روش‌ها

	مدل‌های تخریب	تحلیل درخت خطا (FTA)
حوزه	قابلیت اطمینان	قابلیت اطمینان
خانواده	Regression model	Process / pipeline
سال پیدایش	1998	1981
پدیدآور	Meeker, Escobar & Lu	Vesely et al. (US NRC Fault Tree Handbook)
نوع	Stochastic degradation path model	Deductive top-down failure analysis
منبع بنیادین	Meeker, W. Q., Escobar, L. A., & Lu, C. J. (1998). Accelerated degradation tests: modeling and analysis. Technometrics, 40(2), 89–99.	Vesely, W. E., Goldberg, F. F., Roberts, N. H., & Haasl, D. F. (1981). Fault Tree Handbook (NUREG-0492). U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
نام‌های دیگر	Accelerated Degradation Testing, Degradation Path Models, Performance Degradation Analysis, Bozunma Modelleri	FTA, Fault Tree Method, Top-Down Reliability Analysis, Hata Ağacı Analizi
مرتبط	3	3
خلاصه	Degradation models estimate product lifetime by tracking measurable performance characteristics—such as crack length, light output, or insulation resistance—over time rather than waiting for outright failure. Introduced in rigorous form by Meeker, Escobar, and Lu (1998), these models fit a stochastic degradation path to repeated measurements and define failure as the first time the characteristic crosses a predetermined threshold, enabling reliable lifetime inference from accelerated test data with very few or no observed failures.	Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is a top-down, deductive reliability method that begins with an undesired top-level failure event and systematically traces backward through chains of contributing causes using Boolean logic gates (AND, OR). First formalized by Watson at Bell Telephone Laboratories in 1961 and later standardized by Vesely, Goldberg, Roberts, and Haasl in the landmark 1981 NRC Fault Tree Handbook, FTA has become a cornerstone of quantitative risk assessment in nuclear, aerospace, and industrial safety engineering.