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تحلیل حساسیت بیزی برای علیت×تفاوت‌های بیزی در تفاوت‌ها (Bayesian Difference-in-Differences)×
حوزهاستنتاج علّیاستنتاج علّی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش2000s–2010s2015-2023
پدیدآورMcCandless, Gustafson & Austin (2007); Gustafson (2015)Li & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series)
نوعBayesian causal sensitivity analysisBayesian causal inference / panel regression
منبع بنیادینMcCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2007). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 26(8), 1704-1718. DOI ↗Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529. link ↗
نام‌های دیگرBayesian sensitivity analysis, Bayesian bias analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis for confounding, Bayesian unmeasured confounding analysisBayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator
مرتبط65
خلاصهBayesian sensitivity analysis for causality quantifies how much an unmeasured confounder would need to influence both treatment assignment and outcome to overturn a causal conclusion. Rather than testing a single worst-case scenario, it places prior distributions over the strength of hidden confounding, propagates uncertainty through a full Bayesian model, and reports a posterior distribution for the causal effect that honestly reflects what is and is not identified from observed data.Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Causality · Bayesian Difference-in-Differences. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare