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طراحی مورد-تقاطع بیزی×مدل سلسله مراتبی بیزی×طراحی مورد-تقاطع: مطالعه همه‌گیرشناسی خود-همسان‌سازی شده برای مواجهات گذرا×
حوزهاپیدمیولوژیبیزیاپیدمیولوژی
خانوادهProcess / pipelineBayesian methodsProcess / pipeline
سال پیدایش1991 (case-crossover); Bayesian extension ~2000s20061991
پدیدآورMalcolm Maclure (case-crossover); Bayesian extension developed by Lumley, Sheppard, and colleaguesGelman & Hill (2006); Bayesian multilevel traditionMalcolm Maclure
نوعSelf-matched observational study design with Bayesian inferencehierarchical probabilistic modelObservational epidemiological study design
منبع بنیادینMaclure, M. (1991). The case-crossover design: a method for studying transient effects on the risk of acute events. American Journal of Epidemiology, 133(2), 144–153. DOI ↗Gelman, A. & Hill, J. (2006). Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗Maclure, M. (1991). The case-crossover design: A method for studying transient effects on the risk of acute events. American Journal of Epidemiology, 133(2), 144–153. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرBayesian case-crossover, BCCO, Bayesian self-matched design, Bayesian within-person crossovermultilevel Bayes, Bayesian multilevel model, Bayesian HLM, partial pooling modelcase-crossover study, CCO design, self-matched case study, within-person crossover case study
مرتبط243
خلاصهThe Bayesian case-crossover design is a self-matched epidemiological method that estimates the transient effect of a time-varying exposure on the risk of an acute event. Each case serves as their own control, eliminating confounding by time-stable individual characteristics. Bayesian inference replaces or supplements the classical conditional logistic regression, enabling the incorporation of prior knowledge, more stable estimation in sparse data, and full uncertainty quantification via posterior distributions.Bayesian hierarchical modelling, popularised by Gelman and Hill (2006), is a Bayesian approach to nested data structures — such as students within schools within districts — that estimates separate parameters at each level while allowing those levels to share statistical strength through a mechanism called partial pooling. Where a classical hierarchical linear model treats group means as fixed unknown quantities, the Bayesian version places hyperprior distributions on those group means so that information flows freely across levels, producing more reliable group-level estimates whenever any individual group has few observations.The case-crossover design is an observational epidemiological method that estimates whether a transient exposure triggers an acute event by comparing each case's exposure during a brief hazard window immediately before the event to their own exposure during earlier control periods. Because each person serves as their own control, all stable personal characteristics are automatically adjusted for, making the design especially powerful for studying intermittent exposures and sudden-onset outcomes such as myocardial infarction, stroke, or injury.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Bayesian Case-Crossover Design · Bayesian Hierarchical Model · Case-crossover design. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare