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Struktuurilise Murrangu SARIMA Mudel×Bai-Perroni mitme struktuurimurde test×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelHypothesis test
Tekkeaasta1970s–19981998
LoojaBox & Jenkins (SARIMA); Bai & Perron (structural break detection)Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron
TüüpTime series model with regime shiftsSequential hypothesis test for multiple structural breaks
AlgallikasBai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedSARIMA with structural breaks, break-augmented SARIMA, piecewise SARIMA, SARIMA-SBBai-Perron Multiple Break Test, Multiple Structural Change Test, Sequential Structural Break Test, Çoklu Yapısal Kırılma Testi
Seotud32
KokkuvõteThe Structural Break SARIMA model extends the classical Seasonal ARIMA framework by explicitly detecting and accommodating abrupt, permanent shifts in the level, trend, or seasonal pattern of a time series. Rather than forcing a single SARIMA specification across the entire sample, the model partitions the series at estimated breakpoints and fits separate SARIMA processes to each resulting segment, producing more accurate forecasts and reliable inference in the presence of regime changes.The Bai-Perron test, introduced by Jushan Bai and Pierre Perron in their landmark 1998 Econometrica paper, is a least-squares-based procedure for detecting, estimating, and testing the number of structural breaks in a linear regression model estimated on time-series data. Unlike single-break tests, it simultaneously identifies multiple change-points in a sample, providing economists and empirical researchers with a rigorous, data-driven way to locate parameter instability across time.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Structural Break SARIMA Model · Bai-Perron Test. Loetud 2026-06-18 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare