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Stohhastiline Markovi mudel×Mikrosimulatsioon×
ValdkondSimulatsioonSimulatsioon
PerekondProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Tekkeaasta19931957
LoojaMarkov, A. A. (probabilistic extension developed by Sonnenberg & Beck and others)Guy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projects
TüüpProbabilistic state-transition model with Monte Carlo uncertainty propagationPolicy simulation / computational social science
AlgallikasSonnenberg, F. A., & Beck, J. R. (1993). Markov models in medical decision making: A practical guide. Medical Decision Making, 13(4), 322–338. DOI ↗O'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedProbabilistic Markov Model, Stochastic Markov Chain, SMM, Monte Carlo Markov ModelMikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulation
Seotud65
KokkuvõteA Stochastic Markov Model is a simulation technique that represents a system as a set of mutually exclusive health or decision states, moves a cohort (or individual agents) through those states using probabilistically sampled transition parameters, and aggregates outcomes across thousands of Monte Carlo iterations to produce full probability distributions over costs, outcomes, or rankings rather than single point estimates.Microsimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Stochastic Markov Model · Microsimulation. Loetud 2026-06-15 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare