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Robustne ARMA mudel×Robustne liikuv keskmine (MA) mudel×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta19861979–2009
LoojaMartin & Yohai (1986); broader robust time series literatureDenby & Martin (1979); Muler, Pena & Yohai (2009)
TüüpRobust time series modelRobust time series model
AlgallikasFranses, P. H., & Ghijsels, H. (1999). Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(1), 1-9. link ↗Denby, L., & Martin, R. D. (1979). Robust estimation of the first-order autoregressive parameter. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(365), 140–146. DOI ↗
Rööpnimetusedrobust ARMA, outlier-robust ARMA, M-estimator ARMA, resistant ARMA estimationrobust MA, robust moving average, M-estimation MA, bounded-influence MA
Seotud56
KokkuvõteThe Robust ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average framework by replacing the sensitive least-squares loss with outlier-resistant estimation methods — typically M-estimators or median-based approaches. This protects coefficient estimates and forecasts from being distorted by additive outliers, level shifts, or innovational outliers that are common in economic and financial time series.The Robust MA model applies robust estimation — typically M-estimation or bounded-influence methods — to the Moving Average time series model. By replacing the ordinary least squares loss with a bounded loss function, it produces parameter estimates that are far less sensitive to outliers, additive noise spikes, or heavy-tailed error distributions than the classical Gaussian MA.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Robust ARMA Model · Robust MA model. Loetud 2026-06-17 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare