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Power Transition Analysis×Alliance Network Analysis×
ValdkondInternational RelationsInternational Relations
PerekondProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Tekkeaasta19802012
LoojaA. F. K. Organski & Jacek KuglerSkyler Cranmer, Bruce Desmarais & Elizabeth Menninga
TüüpTheory-driven observational analysis of war between rising and dominant powersNetwork analysis and inferential network modeling of interstate alliances
AlgallikasOrganski, A. F. K., & Kugler, J. (1980). The War Ledger. University of Chicago Press. link ↗Cranmer, S. J., Desmarais, B. A., & Menninga, E. J. (2012). Complex dependencies in the alliance network. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 29(3), 279–313. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedPower Transition Theory Analysis, Power Parity and War Analysis, Hegemonic Transition Analysis, Overtaking and War AnalysisInternational Alliance Networks, Alliance Portfolio Network Analysis, Network Models of Alliance Formation, Interstate Alliance Graph Analysis
Seotud33
KokkuvõtePower transition analysis examines when and why war breaks out between a dominant state and a rising challenger as their relative power converges. Originating in A. F. K. Organski and Jacek Kugler's The War Ledger (1980), it holds that the international system is hierarchical and most dangerous not at moments of clear preponderance but when a dissatisfied rising power approaches parity with the dominant state — and it operationalizes this by tracking relative national capabilities over time and relating overtaking to the onset of major war.Alliance network analysis studies international alliances as a graph of states linked by formal security commitments, and models how that network forms and evolves. Rather than treating each alliance dyad as independent, it uses network science and inferential models such as the exponential random graph model (ERGM) — applied to alliance data by Cranmer, Desmarais, and Menninga (2012) — to capture the complex dependencies, such as a state's tendency to ally with its allies' allies, that ordinary dyadic regression assumes away.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Power Transition Analysis · Alliance Network Analysis. Loetud 2026-06-24 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare