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Poliitika stsenaariumipõhine eesmärgiprogrammeerimine×Policy Scenario Analysis×
ValdkondSimulatsioonSimulatsioon
PerekondProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Tekkeaasta1961 (goal programming); policy scenario application 1980s–present1967–1990s
LoojaCharnes, A., Cooper, W. W. (goal programming); policy scenario integration developed in OR/policy literatureKahn, H. & Wiener, A. J. (seminal); adapted for policy by RAND Corporation and OECD
TüüpOptimization under multiple conflicting goals across policy scenariosQualitative-quantitative hybrid scenario method
AlgallikasCharnes, A., Cooper, W. W. (1961). Management Models and Industrial Applications of Linear Programming. Wiley, New York. ISBN: 9780471153405Swart, R., Raskin, P., Robinson, J. (2004). The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 137–146. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedPSGP, Policy GP, Scenario-based Goal Programming, Multi-scenario Goal ProgrammingPSA, Policy Scenarios, Policy Impact Scenario Analysis, Counterfactual Policy Analysis
Seotud55
KokkuvõtePolicy Scenario Goal Programming (PSGP) integrates goal programming optimization with policy scenario analysis to evaluate how well competing policy objectives can be achieved under distinct future conditions. Decision-makers define multiple goals and several plausible policy scenarios, then solve a goal programming model for each scenario to identify which policy strategies best satisfy priority targets across the full scenario space.Policy Scenario Analysis is a structured method for evaluating how different policy interventions perform across a range of plausible future states. By pairing specific policy levers with alternative scenarios, analysts can assess robustness, trade-offs, and unintended consequences of policy choices before implementation — making it a cornerstone of evidence-based policy design in fields from climate to public health.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Policy Scenario Goal Programming · Policy Scenario Analysis. Loetud 2026-06-18 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare