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ValdkondPõhjuslik järeldamineUurimisstatistika
PerekondRegression modelProcess / pipeline
Tekkeaasta2003-20101983
LoojaAlberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal; extended by Abadie, Diamond & HainmuellerPaul Rosenbaum and Donald Rubin
TüüpCausal inference / comparative case studyMethod
AlgallikasAbadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗Rosenbaum, P. R., & Rubin, D. B. (1983). The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika, 70(1), 41–55. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedSynthetic Control Method, SCM, Synthetic Control, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller methodPSM, propensity score weighting, covariate balance
Seotud53
KokkuvõteThe Synthetic Control Method (SCM) is a causal inference technique for evaluating the effect of a policy or intervention on a single treated unit — such as a region, country, or firm — by constructing a weighted combination of untreated comparison units that closely mirrors the treated unit before the intervention. Introduced by Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003) and formalized by Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller (2010), it provides a data-driven, transparent counterfactual for comparative case studies.Propensity score matching (PSM) is a method for reducing confounding bias in observational studies by balancing baseline characteristics between treatment groups, simulating randomization. Developed by Rosenbaum and Rubin (1983), it estimates the probability of receiving treatment given observed covariates, then matches or weights treated and control individuals with similar treatment probabilities. Widely used in medicine, epidemiology, and policy evaluation when randomized trials are infeasible or unethical, enabling estimation of treatment effects while controlling for selection bias.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Policy Evaluation Synthetic Control Method · Propensity Score Matching. Loetud 2026-06-18 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare