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Poliitika hindamise platseebotest×Permutatsioonitest (randomiseerimistest)×
ValdkondPõhjuslik järeldamineStatistika
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta1990s–2000s2005
LoojaBertrand, Duflo & Mullainathan (2004 canonical formalization); Imbens & Wooldridge (2009 textbook treatment)Good (2005); Edgington & Onghena (2007); resampling tradition
TüüpFalsification / specification checkNonparametric resampling test
AlgallikasImbens, G. W., & Wooldridge, J. M. (2009). Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation. Journal of Economic Literature, 47(1), 5-86. DOI ↗Good, P. (2005). Permutation, Parametric and Bootstrap Tests of Hypotheses (3rd ed.). Springer. ISBN: 978-0387202792
Rööpnimetusedplacebo test, falsification test, fake treatment test, placebo regressionrandomization test, exact permutation test, re-randomization test, Permütasyon Testi
Seotud45
KokkuvõteA policy evaluation placebo test is a falsification check used in quasi-experimental research to validate a causal identification strategy. The researcher applies the same estimation method to a pseudo-treatment — a time period, group, or outcome where the real policy could not have had an effect — and checks that no spurious effect is detected. A null placebo result builds confidence that the main estimate reflects a genuine causal impact rather than bias or confounding.The permutation test is a nonparametric resampling procedure that builds the sampling distribution of a test statistic directly from the data by repeatedly shuffling the group labels. Developed in the resampling tradition and treated systematically by Good (2005) and Edgington & Onghena (2007), it requires no parametric distributional assumption and yields an exact p-value.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Policy Evaluation Placebo Test · Permutation Test. Loetud 2026-06-18 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare