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Policy Evaluation Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (CIE)×Instrumentaalmuutujate (IV) meetod kausaalse järelduse tegemiseks×
ValdkondPõhjuslik järeldamineTerviseökonoomika
PerekondRegression modelProcess / pipeline
Tekkeaasta1974 (Rubin potential outcomes); 2010s (EU policy CIE formalisation)1990s (modern applications)
LoojaRubin (potential outcomes framework); European Commission DG Research formalised policy CIE guidelinesAngrist & Pischke (applied econometrics); rooted in econometric theory
TüüpQuasi-experimental causal evaluationMethod
AlgallikasImbens, G. W., & Rubin, D. B. (2015). Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521885881Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J. S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton: Princeton University Press. link ↗
RööpnimetusedCIE, policy CIE, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluationIV, two-stage least squares, TSLS, causal estimation
Seotud53
KokkuvõteCounterfactual Impact Evaluation (CIE) for policy assessment estimates the causal effect of a public policy or programme by comparing observed outcomes of participants against a rigorously constructed counterfactual — what would have happened had the policy not existed. Rooted in the Rubin potential-outcomes framework, CIE is the standard methodology endorsed by the European Commission for evaluating research, innovation, and structural funding programmes.Instrumental variables (IV) is an econometric method to estimate causal effects when treatment or exposure is not randomly assigned and confounding is severe or unmeasured. IV relies on a third variable (instrument) that influences treatment but does not directly affect the outcome, allowing researchers to isolate the causal effect from the noise of confounding. Developed extensively in econometrics (Angrist & Pischke, 1990s–2000s), IV methods are increasingly used in health economics and health services research to leverage natural experiments and policy changes.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Policy Evaluation Counterfactual Impact Evaluation · Instrumental Variables in Health Research. Loetud 2026-06-19 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare