Võrdle meetodeid
Vaata valitud meetodeid kõrvuti; erinevad read on esile tõstetud.
| Paneelide andmeanalüüsi põhjuslik mõju× | Kausaalne mõju analüüs× | |
|---|---|---|
| Valdkond | Põhjuslik järeldamine | Põhjuslik järeldamine |
| Perekond | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tekkeaasta≠ | 2015 (base method); panel extension mid-2010s | 2015 |
| Looja≠ | Brodersen et al. (2015); panel extension by Holtz et al. and subsequent literature | Kay H. Brodersen, Fabian Gallusser, Jim Koehler, Nicolas Remy, Steven L. Scott (Google) |
| Tüüp≠ | Bayesian structural time-series causal inference | Bayesian causal inference / counterfactual forecasting |
| Algallikas | Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗ | Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗ |
| Rööpnimetused | Panel CausalImpact, multi-unit causal impact, panel BSTS causal inference, panel structural time-series causal analysis | CausalImpact, BSTS causal inference, Bayesian causal impact, counterfactual time-series analysis |
| Seotud≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Kokkuvõte≠ | Panel data causal impact analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series approach of Brodersen et al. (2015) to multi-unit panel settings, estimating the counterfactual for several treated units simultaneously using control units as a donor pool. It produces credible intervals for the causal effect at each post-intervention time point, aggregated across units and periods. | Causal Impact Analysis, introduced by Brodersen et al. (2015) at Google, uses Bayesian structural time-series models to estimate what would have happened to an outcome had an intervention never occurred. By constructing a probabilistic counterfactual from pre-treatment data and control covariates, it quantifies point-in-time and cumulative treatment effects with full posterior uncertainty intervals. |
| ScholarGateAndmestik ↗ |
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