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Bayesian Granger'i põhjuslikkus×Paneeli Granger'i põhjuslikkuse test×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta1969 (frequentist); 1984 (Bayesian treatment)1988–2012
LoojaClive W. J. Granger (frequentist basis, 1969); Bayesian extension by Geweke (1984) and subsequent literatureHoltz-Eakin, Newey & Rosen (1988); Dumitrescu & Hurlin (2012)
TüüpBayesian causal inference testCausality test
AlgallikasGeweke, J. (1984). Inference and causality in economic time series models. Handbook of Econometrics, 2, 1101-1144. Elsevier. link ↗Dumitrescu, E.-I., & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450–1460. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedBayesian Granger test, Bayesian predictive causality, BGC, Bayesian causality in meanpanel causality test, Dumitrescu-Hurlin test, heterogeneous panel causality, panel Granger test
Seotud65
KokkuvõteBayesian Granger causality tests whether past values of one time series carry predictive information about another, framing the hypothesis through Bayesian inference rather than frequentist p-values. It combines a vector autoregressive (VAR) structure with prior distributions over coefficients and evaluates causal claims via posterior probabilities or Bayes factors, providing a probabilistic and nuanced alternative to the classical Granger test.The Panel Granger Causality test examines whether past values of one variable help predict another variable across multiple cross-sectional units observed over time. It extends the classical Granger causality framework to panel data, accounting for cross-sectional heterogeneity and enabling more powerful inference by pooling information across units.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Bayesian Granger Causality · Panel Granger Causality. Loetud 2026-06-17 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare