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| Population Momentum× | Net Reproduction Rate× | |
|---|---|---|
| Field | Demography | Demography |
| Family | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Year of origin≠ | 1971 | 2001 |
| Originator≠ | Nathan Keyfitz | Richard Böckh and Robert Kuczynski (formalized in Preston, Heuveline & Guillot) |
| Type≠ | Measure of latent growth from age structure after fertility reaches replacement | Period measure of generational replacement combining fertility and mortality |
| Seminal source≠ | Keyfitz, N. (1971). On the momentum of population growth. Demography, 8(1), 71–80. DOI ↗ | Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512 |
| Aliases≠ | Demographic Momentum, Momentum of Population Growth, Keyfitz Momentum | NRR, Net reproduction ratio, Net reproductive rate, Net Üreme Hızı |
| Related≠ | 3 | 4 |
| Summary≠ | Population momentum is the tendency of a growing population to keep growing for decades even after fertility falls to the replacement level, simply because its age structure is heavily weighted toward young people who have yet to reach childbearing age. Introduced by Nathan Keyfitz in 1971, the momentum factor measures how much larger (or smaller) a population will ultimately become if fertility instantly drops to exact replacement. It explains why ending rapid population growth is not immediate: the built-in youthfulness of a fast-growing population carries growth forward long after birth rates stabilize. | The net reproduction rate (NRR) is the demographic measure of generational replacement: the average number of daughters a woman would bear who survive to the age their mother was when she bore them, given the period's age-specific fertility rates and female mortality. By combining fertility with survival, the NRR answers the fundamental question of whether a population is replacing itself — an NRR of one means each generation of women exactly reproduces the next, below one signals long-run decline, and above one signals growth. |
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