Compare methods
Review your selected methods side by side; rows that differ are highlighted.
| Foresight Scenario Method× | Patent Analysis× | |
|---|---|---|
| Field | Science Technology Studies | Science Technology Studies |
| Family | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Year of origin≠ | 1995 | 1994 |
| Originator≠ | Paul Schoemaker, drawing on Herman Kahn and the Shell/intuitive-logics tradition | Francis Narin (patent bibliometrics) and the patent-analytics community |
| Type≠ | Structured future-construction process | Document-based technological-intelligence process |
| Seminal source≠ | Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. link ↗ | Narin, F. (1994). Patent bibliometrics. Scientometrics, 30(1), 147-155. DOI ↗ |
| Aliases | Scenario planning, Intuitive-logics scenarios, Scenario building | Patent analytics, Patent bibliometrics, Patent landscaping |
| Related | 4 | 4 |
| Summary≠ | The scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises. | Patent analysis, or patanalytics, mines the documents and metadata in patent databases to generate technological intelligence. Because patents are structured, dated, classified, and citation-linked records of inventive activity, analysing patent counts, citations, classification codes, applicants, and text reveals who is innovating where, in which technologies, how fields connect, and how the technological landscape is shifting—evidence that feeds competitive intelligence, R&D strategy, and foresight. |
| ScholarGateDataset ↗ |
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