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Case-Time-Control Design×Self-Controlled Case Series×
FieldSocial EpidemiologySocial Epidemiology
FamilyProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Year of origin19951995
OriginatorSamy Suissa; Sander GreenlandC. Paddy Farrington
TypeSelf-controlled observational design with a time-trend control seriesWithin-person case-only design for transient exposures and acute outcomes
Seminal sourceSuissa, S. (1995). The case-time-control design. Epidemiology, 6(3), 248-253. DOI ↗Farrington, C. P. (1995). Relative Incidence Estimation from Case Series for Vaccine Safety Evaluation. Biometrics, 51(1), 228-235. DOI ↗
AliasesCase-Time-Control Method, Trend-Adjusted Case-Crossover, Suissa Case-Time-Control Design, Case-Crossover with Time ControlsSCCS, Case Series Method, Within-Person Comparison Design, Farrington Method
Related43
SummaryThe case-time-control design is a pharmacoepidemiologic study design that repairs a specific weakness of the case-crossover study: bias from a secular trend in exposure. In a case-crossover analysis each case acts as their own control, comparing exposure in a short hazard window just before the event to exposure in earlier reference windows, which automatically removes all fixed, time-invariant confounders. But if the prevalence of exposure is rising or falling over calendar time for reasons unrelated to the outcome, this within-person comparison is biased. Samy Suissa's 1995 design adds a separate control series, analyzed the same way, to estimate that pure time trend; dividing the case-crossover odds ratio by the control odds ratio cancels the trend and leaves the exposure effect. Sander Greenland's 1996 analysis clarified the assumptions: the correction works only if the controls share the same exposure trend and there is no within-subject confounder, and it can introduce new bias if those conditions fail.The self-controlled case series, or SCCS, is a case-only study design for estimating the association between a transient exposure and an acute event by comparing each individual's event rate during exposed time windows with their rate during unexposed time windows. Developed by Paddy Farrington in 1995 for vaccine safety evaluation, it uses data only on people who experienced the outcome, and because each person serves as their own control, it automatically eliminates all fixed within-person confounders — genetics, sex, chronic conditions, socioeconomic position — without ever measuring them. A conditional Poisson likelihood removes the individual-level baseline rate and yields a relative incidence comparing risk to control periods. Whitaker, Farrington, Spiessens and Musonda's 2006 Statistics in Medicine tutorial is the standard practical guide to fitting and interpreting the model.
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