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Στιβαρό Μοντέλο GARCH×Μοντέλο EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×Παλινδρόμηση Ποσοστημορίων×
ΠεδίοΟικονομετρίαΟικονομετρίαΟικονομετρία
ΟικογένειαRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Έτος προέλευσης1986–201319911978
ΔημιουργόςBoudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Daniel B. NelsonKoenker & Bassett
ΤύποςVolatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional quantile regression
Θεμελιώδης πηγήBoudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Εναλλακτικές ονομασίεςRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Συναφείς565
ΣύνοψηThe Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateΣύγκριση μεθόδων: Robust GARCH model · EGARCH model · Quantile Regression. Ανακτήθηκε στις 2026-06-18 από https://scholargate.app/el/compare