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| PatchTST× | Μοντέλο ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)× | Conformal Prediction για Πρόβλεψη Χρονοσειρών× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Πεδίο≠ | Βαθιά Μάθηση | Οικονομετρία | Οικονομετρία |
| Οικογένεια≠ | Machine learning | Regression model | Regression model |
| Έτος προέλευσης≠ | 2023 | 2015 | 2021 |
| Δημιουργός≠ | Nie, Y. et al. | Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology) | Angelopoulos & Bates (tutorial); Xu & Xie (time-series EnbPI) |
| Τύπος≠ | Transformer for time series forecasting | Univariate time-series model | Distribution-free prediction interval wrapper |
| Θεμελιώδης πηγή≠ | Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR. link ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021 | Angelopoulos, A. N. & Bates, S. (2023). Conformal Prediction: A Gentle Introduction. Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning, 16(4), 494-591. DOI ↗ |
| Εναλλακτικές ονομασίες≠ | PatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer | Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli | conformal prediction, distribution-free prediction intervals, EnbPI, Konformal Tahmin (Conformal Prediction — Zaman Serisi) |
| Συναφείς≠ | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Σύνοψη≠ | PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting. | ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015). | Conformal prediction is a distribution-free wrapper that turns any point forecaster — ARIMA, a neural network, or a machine-learning model — into valid prediction intervals using only its residuals. The time-series form was popularised by Xu & Xie (2021) and the modern tutorial treatment by Angelopoulos & Bates (2023). |
| ScholarGateΣύνολο δεδομένων ↗ |
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