Σύγκριση μεθόδων

	Μοντέλο GARCH (Πρόβλεψη Μεταβλητότητας)	Παλινδρόμηση Ποσοστημορίων
Πεδίο	Οικονομετρία	Οικονομετρία
Οικογένεια	Regression model	Regression model
Έτος προέλευσης	1986	1978
Δημιουργός	Tim Bollerslev	Koenker & Bassett
Τύπος	Conditional volatility model	Conditional quantile regression
Θεμελιώδης πηγή	Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327.	Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50.
Εναλλακτικές ονομασίες	GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)	conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Συναφείς	5	5
Σύνοψη	The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.	Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.