Methoden vergleichen

	Technology Foresight	Horizon Scanning
Fachgebiet	Science Technology Studies	Science Technology Studies
Familie	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
Entstehungsjahr	1995	2009
Urheber	Ben R. Martin, Irene Miles, and the UK/Japanese foresight programmes	William J. Sutherland, Effie Amanatidou, and the foresight/scanning community
Typ	Participatory future-oriented strategic process	Systematic search-and-detection process
Wegweisende Quelle	Martin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 7(2), 139-168.	Sutherland, W. J., & Woodroof, H. J. (2009). The need for environmental horizon scanning. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 24(10), 523-527.
Aliasnamen	Foresight studies, Strategic technology forecasting, Future-oriented technology analysis	Environmental scanning, Weak-signal detection, Emerging-issues analysis
Verwandt	4	4
Zusammenfassung	Technology foresight is a systematic, participatory process of looking into the longer-term future of science, technology, the economy, and society in order to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits. Rather than predicting a single future, it brings experts and stakeholders together to explore plausible futures, build shared visions, and translate them into present-day priorities and action.	Horizon scanning is the systematic examination of information to detect early signs of potentially important developments—weak signals, emerging issues, and wild cards—before they become obvious or fully formed. By surveying a wide range of sources at the edge of current attention, it gives decision-makers advance warning of opportunities and threats and supplies the raw material for foresight, scenario building, and anticipatory policy.