Methoden vergleichen

	Bayesian Propensity Score Weighting	Bayesian Difference-in-Differences
Fachgebiet	Kausale Inferenz	Kausale Inferenz
Familie	Regression model	Regression model
Entstehungsjahr	2009	2015-2023
Urheber	McCandless, Gustafson & Austin	Li & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series)
Typ	Bayesian causal weighting estimator	Bayesian causal inference / panel regression
Wegweisende Quelle	McCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2009). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 28(1), 94–112.	Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529.
Aliasnamen	Bayesian PSW, Bayesian IPW, Bayesian inverse probability weighting, Bayesian propensity weighting	Bayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator
Verwandt	6	5
Zusammenfassung	Bayesian Propensity Score Weighting estimates causal treatment effects in observational data by combining a Bayesian model for the propensity score with inverse probability weighting. By placing a prior over propensity-score parameters and propagating posterior uncertainty through the weighting step, this approach yields fully probabilistic uncertainty intervals for the average treatment effect, accounting for the uncertainty in both the score model and the outcome.	Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available.