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| Altman Z-Score: Vorhersage von Unternehmensinsolvenzen× | Logistische Regression× | |
|---|---|---|
| Fachgebiet≠ | Finanzwirtschaft | Forschungsstatistik |
| Familie≠ | Regression model | Process / pipeline |
| Entstehungsjahr≠ | 1968 | 1958 |
| Urheber≠ | Edward Altman | David Roxbee Cox |
| Typ≠ | Multiple discriminant analysis scoring model | Method |
| Wegweisende Quelle≠ | Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589–609. DOI ↗ | Cox, D. R. (1958). The regression analysis of binary sequences. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 20(2), 215–242. DOI ↗ |
| Aliasnamen≠ | Altman's Z-Score Model, Multiple Discriminant Analysis Bankruptcy Model, Z-Score Financial Distress Model, Altman Z-Skoru | logit model, binomial logistic regression, LR |
| Verwandt | 3 | 3 |
| Zusammenfassung≠ | The Altman Z-Score is a linear discriminant model developed by Edward I. Altman in 1968 to predict corporate bankruptcy using five accounting-based financial ratios. Derived through multiple discriminant analysis on a matched sample of 66 US manufacturing firms, the model combines liquidity, profitability, leverage, solvency, and activity ratios into a single composite score that classifies firms as financially sound, distressed, or in a grey zone. | Logistic regression is a statistical method for modeling the probability of a binary outcome (disease present/absent, success/failure) as a function of continuous and categorical predictors. Developed by David Roxbee Cox (1958), it solves the problem of predicting categorical outcomes by applying a logistic transformation to constrain predictions to the [0,1] probability interval, enabling accurate risk stratification, diagnostic prediction, and causal inference in epidemiology, medicine, and social science. |
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