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Tidsserie MCMC×Dynamisk Bayesiansk Inferens×
FagområdeBayesianskBayesiansk
FamilieBayesian methodsBayesian methods
Oprindelsesår1994–19971989–1997
OphavspersonCarter & Kohn; West & HarrisonWest & Harrison (dynamic linear models); Dean & Kanazawa (dynamic Bayesian networks)
TypeBayesian posterior sampling for time-ordered dataBayesian sequential / online inference framework
Oprindelig kildeCarter, C. K. & Kohn, R. (1994). On Gibbs sampling for state space models. Biometrika, 81(3), 541–553. DOI ↗West, M. & Harrison, J. (1997). Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models (2nd ed.). Springer. ISBN: 978-0387947259
AliasserMCMC time series, Bayesian time series MCMC, time series posterior sampling, sequential Bayesian MCMConline Bayesian inference, sequential Bayesian updating, recursive Bayesian estimation, dynamic Bayesian updating
Relaterede66
ResuméTime series MCMC applies Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to Bayesian inference over time-ordered data. Rather than optimising a single parameter estimate, it draws samples from the full joint posterior of parameters and latent states, yielding probability distributions that honestly reflect uncertainty about dynamics, trends, and seasonal patterns across every time point.Dynamic Bayesian inference is a framework for performing Bayesian updating sequentially as new observations arrive over time. Rather than fitting a static model to a fixed dataset, it tracks how a posterior distribution over latent states or parameters evolves step by step, combining a prior with each new likelihood to produce an updated posterior that propagates forward through time.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Time series MCMC · Dynamic Bayesian Inference. Hentet 2026-06-17 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare