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Výzkum trendů s podporou simulace×Simulace Monte Carlo×
OborDesign výzkumuRozhodování
RodinaProcess / pipelineMCDM
Rok vzniku1990s–2000s (convergence of computational simulation with survey-based trend designs)1949
TvůrceSynthesized from trend research (Creswell) and Monte Carlo / agent-based simulation traditions (Mooney, 1997)Metropolis, N., Ulam, S.
TypQuantitative research design with computational augmentationRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
Původní zdrojCreswell, J. W., & Creswell, J. D. (2023). Research Design: Qualitative, Quantitative, and Mixed Methods Approaches (6th ed.). SAGE Publications. ISBN: 978-1071817971Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
Další názvysimulation-augmented trend study, Monte Carlo trend research, computational trend analysis, simulation-based longitudinal trend design
Příbuzné40
ShrnutíSimulation-assisted trend research combines repeated cross-sectional survey data collected at multiple time points with computational simulation techniques — such as Monte Carlo methods or agent-based modeling — to project, validate, and stress-test observed trends. It extends classic trend research by replacing or supplementing extrapolation with probabilistic scenario modeling, allowing researchers to quantify uncertainty around trend trajectories and explore counterfactual futures under varying assumptions.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGatePorovnat metody: Simulation-Assisted Trend Research · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. Získáno 2026-06-18 z https://scholargate.app/cs/compare