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Modelování politických scénářů pomocí agentních systémů×Analýza politických scénářů×
OborSimulaceSimulace
RodinaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Rok vzniku1990s–2000s1967–1990s
TvůrceAxelrod, R. and colleagues in computational social scienceKahn, H. & Wiener, A. J. (seminal); adapted for policy by RAND Corporation and OECD
TypSimulation-based policy comparisonQualitative-quantitative hybrid scenario method
Původní zdrojAxelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 9780691015675Swart, R., Raskin, P., Robinson, J. (2004). The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 137–146. DOI ↗
Další názvyPolicy ABM, Policy Scenario ABM, Scenario-Based ABM, PS-ABMPSA, Policy Scenarios, Policy Impact Scenario Analysis, Counterfactual Policy Analysis
Příbuzné55
ShrnutíPolicy Scenario Agent-Based Modeling (PS-ABM) is a simulation method that uses agent-based models to evaluate and compare multiple policy scenarios. Heterogeneous autonomous agents interact under different policy regimes, and emergent system-level outcomes are compared across scenarios to inform evidence-based policy decisions. It is widely used in public health, urban planning, economics, and social policy research.Policy Scenario Analysis is a structured method for evaluating how different policy interventions perform across a range of plausible future states. By pairing specific policy levers with alternative scenarios, analysts can assess robustness, trade-offs, and unintended consequences of policy choices before implementation — making it a cornerstone of evidence-based policy design in fields from climate to public health.
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ScholarGatePorovnat metody: Policy Scenario Agent-Based Modeling · Policy Scenario Analysis. Získáno 2026-06-18 z https://scholargate.app/cs/compare