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Vyhodnocení dopadů politiky na základě protifaktu (CIE)×Kontrafaktuální hodnocení dopadu (CIE)×
OborKauzální inferenceKauzální inference
RodinaRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku1974 (Rubin potential outcomes); 2010s (EU policy CIE formalisation)1970s–2000s
TvůrceRubin (potential outcomes framework); European Commission DG Research formalised policy CIE guidelinesHeckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature
TypQuasi-experimental causal evaluationCausal inference / program evaluation
Původní zdrojImbens, G. W., & Rubin, D. B. (2015). Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521885881Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗
Další názvyCIE, policy CIE, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluationCIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation
Příbuzné55
ShrnutíCounterfactual Impact Evaluation (CIE) for policy assessment estimates the causal effect of a public policy or programme by comparing observed outcomes of participants against a rigorously constructed counterfactual — what would have happened had the policy not existed. Rooted in the Rubin potential-outcomes framework, CIE is the standard methodology endorsed by the European Commission for evaluating research, innovation, and structural funding programmes.Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice.
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ScholarGatePorovnat metody: Policy Evaluation Counterfactual Impact Evaluation · Counterfactual Impact Evaluation. Získáno 2026-06-19 z https://scholargate.app/cs/compare