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PatchTST×Konformní predikce pro časové řady×
OborHluboké učeníEkonometrie
RodinaMachine learningRegression model
Rok vzniku20232021
TvůrceNie, Y. et al.Angelopoulos & Bates (tutorial); Xu & Xie (time-series EnbPI)
TypTransformer for time series forecastingDistribution-free prediction interval wrapper
Původní zdrojNie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR. link ↗Angelopoulos, A. N. & Bates, S. (2023). Conformal Prediction: A Gentle Introduction. Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning, 16(4), 494-591. DOI ↗
Další názvyPatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformerconformal prediction, distribution-free prediction intervals, EnbPI, Konformal Tahmin (Conformal Prediction — Zaman Serisi)
Příbuzné34
ShrnutíPatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.Conformal prediction is a distribution-free wrapper that turns any point forecaster — ARIMA, a neural network, or a machine-learning model — into valid prediction intervals using only its residuals. The time-series form was popularised by Xu & Xie (2021) and the modern tutorial treatment by Angelopoulos & Bates (2023).
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ScholarGatePorovnat metody: PatchTST · Conformal Prediction (Time Series). Získáno 2026-06-17 z https://scholargate.app/cs/compare