Porovnat metody
Prohlédněte si vybrané metody vedle sebe; řádky, které se liší, jsou zvýrazněny.
| Horizon Scanning× | Technology Foresight× | |
|---|---|---|
| Obor | Science Technology Studies | Science Technology Studies |
| Rodina | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Rok vzniku≠ | 2009 | 1995 |
| Tvůrce≠ | William J. Sutherland, Effie Amanatidou, and the foresight/scanning community | Ben R. Martin, Irene Miles, and the UK/Japanese foresight programmes |
| Typ≠ | Systematic search-and-detection process | Participatory future-oriented strategic process |
| Původní zdroj≠ | Sutherland, W. J., & Woodroof, H. J. (2009). The need for environmental horizon scanning. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 24(10), 523-527. DOI ↗ | Martin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 7(2), 139-168. DOI ↗ |
| Další názvy | Environmental scanning, Weak-signal detection, Emerging-issues analysis | Foresight studies, Strategic technology forecasting, Future-oriented technology analysis |
| Příbuzné | 4 | 4 |
| Shrnutí≠ | Horizon scanning is the systematic examination of information to detect early signs of potentially important developments—weak signals, emerging issues, and wild cards—before they become obvious or fully formed. By surveying a wide range of sources at the edge of current attention, it gives decision-makers advance warning of opportunities and threats and supplies the raw material for foresight, scenario building, and anticipatory policy. | Technology foresight is a systematic, participatory process of looking into the longer-term future of science, technology, the economy, and society in order to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits. Rather than predicting a single future, it brings experts and stakeholders together to explore plausible futures, build shared visions, and translate them into present-day priorities and action. |
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