Porovnat metody
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| Bayesovský marginální strukturální model× | Vážená inverzní pravděpodobnost léčby (IPW / IPTW)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Obor | Kauzální inference | Kauzální inference |
| Rodina | Regression model | Regression model |
| Rok vzniku≠ | 2015 (Bayesian extension); 2000 (MSM foundation) | 2000 |
| Tvůrce≠ | Saarela, Stephens, Moodie & Klein (Bayesian extension); Robins, Hernan & Brumback (original MSM) | Robins, Hernán & Brumback |
| Typ≠ | Causal inference / Bayesian weighted regression | Causal inference weighting estimator |
| Původní zdroj≠ | Saarela, O., Stephens, D. A., Moodie, E. E. M., & Klein, M. B. (2015). On Bayesian estimation of marginal structural models. Biometrics, 71(2), 279-288. DOI ↗ | Robins, J. M., Hernán, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal Structural Models and Causal Inference in Epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560. DOI ↗ |
| Další názvy≠ | Bayesian MSM, Bayesian MSM-IPW, Bayesian weighted structural model, Bayesian causal MSM | IPW, IPTW, inverse probability of treatment weighting, marginal structural model weighting |
| Příbuzné≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Shrnutí≠ | Bayesian Marginal Structural Model (Bayesian MSM) combines the causal identification power of inverse-probability-weighted marginal structural models with Bayesian posterior inference. Rather than relying on point estimates and asymptotic standard errors, it propagates uncertainty through a full posterior distribution over causal effect parameters, offering coherent uncertainty quantification for causal effects of time-varying treatments. | Inverse Probability Weighting is a causal-inference method that assigns each observation a weight equal to the inverse of its probability of receiving the treatment it actually received. Introduced by Robins, Hernán and Brumback (2000) for marginal structural models, it builds a pseudo-population in which treatment is independent of measured confounders, balancing selection bias. |
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