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Foresight Scenario Method×Technology Foresight×
ক্ষেত্রScience Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
পরিবারProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
উদ্ভবের বছর19951995
প্রবর্তকPaul Schoemaker, drawing on Herman Kahn and the Shell/intuitive-logics traditionBen R. Martin, Irene Miles, and the UK/Japanese foresight programmes
ধরনStructured future-construction processParticipatory future-oriented strategic process
মৌলিক উৎসSchoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. link ↗Martin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 7(2), 139-168. DOI ↗
অপর নামScenario planning, Intuitive-logics scenarios, Scenario buildingForesight studies, Strategic technology forecasting, Future-oriented technology analysis
সম্পর্কিত44
সারসংক্ষেপThe scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises.Technology foresight is a systematic, participatory process of looking into the longer-term future of science, technology, the economy, and society in order to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits. Rather than predicting a single future, it brings experts and stakeholders together to explore plausible futures, build shared visions, and translate them into present-day priorities and action.
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ScholarGateপদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন: Foresight Scenario Method · Technology Foresight. 2026-06-24 তারিখে সংগৃহীত, উৎস: https://scholargate.app/bn/compare