General Morphological Analysis
General morphological analysis (GMA) is a method for structuring and exploring the total set of possible configurations of a complex, multi-dimensional problem that cannot be reduced to numbers. Devised by the astrophysicist Fritz Zwicky in the mid-twentieth century and formalized for policy and futures work by Tom Ritchey, it begins by laying out a problem as a 'morphological field' — a set of parameters, each with several discrete value-states — whose combinations define every conceivable solution. Because that combinatorial space is usually enormous, the method's decisive step is cross-consistency assessment: experts judge every pair of states for internal contradiction, and contradictory pairs prune the field down to a far smaller set of internally coherent configurations that can actually be examined.
Прочетете целия метод
Влезте с безплатен профил, за да прочетете този раздел.
Карта на методите
Обкръжението на сродните методи — изберете възел, за да го разгледате.
Източници
- Ritchey, T. (2011). Wicked Problems - Social Messes: Decision Support Modelling with Morphological Analysis. Springer. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-19653-9 ↗
- Bishop, P., Hines, A., & Collins, T. (2007). The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques. Foresight, 9(1), 5-25. DOI: 10.1108/14636680710727516 ↗
Как да цитирате тази страница
ScholarGate. (2026, June 23). General Morphological Analysis (Morphological Field with Cross-Consistency Assessment). ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/bg/futures-foresight-studies/general-morphological-analysis
Кой метод?
Поставете този метод до най-близките му сродни методи и ги четете едно до друго — библиотеката полага книгите на масата; изборът е ваш.
- Field Anomaly RelaxationFutures Foresight Studies↔ сравняване
- Intuitive Logics Scenario PlanningFutures Foresight Studies↔ сравняване
- La Prospective Morphological ScenariosFutures Foresight Studies↔ сравняване
Цитиран в
Подобни методи
Свързани справочни понятия
Забелязахте ли проблем на тази страница? Съобщете или предложете поправка →