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| Векторен модел за корекция на грешки (VECM)× | Тест за причинност на Грейнджър× | |
|---|---|---|
| Област | Иконометрия | Иконометрия |
| Семейство | Regression model | Regression model |
| Година на възникване≠ | 1987 | 1969 |
| Създател≠ | Robert F. Engle and Clive W. J. Granger | Clive W. J. Granger |
| Тип≠ | Multivariate time-series model | Causality test (F-test on VAR) |
| Основополагащ източник≠ | Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗ | Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗ |
| Други названия | VECM, error correction VAR, cointegrated VAR, vector equilibrium correction model | Granger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality test |
| Свързани | 5 | 5 |
| Резюме≠ | The Vector Error Correction Model extends the Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework to a system of variables that share one or more long-run equilibrium relationships. It jointly models short-run dynamics and the speed at which each variable corrects back toward equilibrium after a shock, making it the standard tool for analysing cointegrated multivariate time series. | The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis. |
| ScholarGateНабор от данни ↗ |
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