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Устойчив ARMA модел×Модел с ротационна средна стойност (MA) със здрави оценки×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване19861979–2009
СъздателMartin & Yohai (1986); broader robust time series literatureDenby & Martin (1979); Muler, Pena & Yohai (2009)
ТипRobust time series modelRobust time series model
Основополагащ източникFranses, P. H., & Ghijsels, H. (1999). Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(1), 1-9. link ↗Denby, L., & Martin, R. D. (1979). Robust estimation of the first-order autoregressive parameter. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(365), 140–146. DOI ↗
Други названияrobust ARMA, outlier-robust ARMA, M-estimator ARMA, resistant ARMA estimationrobust MA, robust moving average, M-estimation MA, bounded-influence MA
Свързани56
РезюмеThe Robust ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average framework by replacing the sensitive least-squares loss with outlier-resistant estimation methods — typically M-estimators or median-based approaches. This protects coefficient estimates and forecasts from being distorted by additive outliers, level shifts, or innovational outliers that are common in economic and financial time series.The Robust MA model applies robust estimation — typically M-estimation or bounded-influence methods — to the Moving Average time series model. By replacing the ordinary least squares loss with a bounded loss function, it produces parameter estimates that are far less sensitive to outliers, additive noise spikes, or heavy-tailed error distributions than the classical Gaussian MA.
ScholarGateНабор от данни
  1. v1
  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Robust ARMA Model · Robust MA model. Извлечено на 2026-06-17 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare