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| Модели на миграцията (избутващи-привличащи / мултирегионални)× | Радиационен модел на мобилност и миграция× | |
|---|---|---|
| Област≠ | Демография | Пространствен анализ |
| Семейство | Regression model | Regression model |
| Година на възникване≠ | 1966 | 2012 |
| Създател≠ | Everett Lee | Filippo Simini et al. |
| Тип≠ | Theoretical-quantitative migration framework | Parameter-free spatial interaction model |
| Основополагащ източник≠ | Lee, E. S. (1966). A theory of migration. Demography, 3(1), 47–57. DOI ↗ | Simini, F., González, M. C., Maritan, A., & Barabási, A.-L. (2012). A universal model for mobility and migration patterns. Nature, 484, 96–100. DOI ↗ |
| Други названия | Push-Pull Migration Theory, Multiregional Migration Model, Lee Migration Framework, Göç Modelleri | Radiation Law of Human Mobility, Parameter-free Mobility Model, Simini Radiation Model, Radyasyon Modeli |
| Свързани | 3 | 3 |
| Резюме≠ | Migration models are quantitative frameworks for explaining and forecasting population movement between geographic units. Lee's (1966) push-pull theory classifies factors at origin and destination into positive and negative forces, modulated by intervening obstacles. Widely used by demographers, regional planners, and policy researchers to project labor mobility, refugee flows, and urbanization trends across national and subnational geographies. | The Radiation Model, introduced by Simini et al. in 2012, is a parameter-free model for predicting human mobility and migration flows between geographic locations. Drawing an analogy from radiation physics, it predicts trip volumes based solely on population sizes at origin and destination, and the intervening population within the circle connecting them. It has been widely applied to commuting flows, migration, and epidemic spreading. |
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